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Neighborhood · Durham, NC

J W Smith Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,487 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

J W Smith maps to a single census tract in Durham, NC, population 4,487. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Durham baseline of 29.4%, 45% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. The severe-burden share is 14%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.8/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 21.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Running cool is economic stress, at 3/10. 17.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

That places it #17 of 58 neighborhoods in Durham. For a like-for-like read, West End and Gorman score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,452, close to the Durham average.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $64,619.

One tract means one number: 4.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
J W Smith vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.6% +52%
Durham: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$1,452 -4%
Durham: $1,508
Average HH income
$64,619 -18%
Durham: $79,234
Poverty rate
12.2% +0%
Durham: 12.2%
Renter share
40.7% -15%
Durham: 47.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across J W Smith and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why J W Smith scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
12.2% below poverty line · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

J W Smith vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

J W Smith score vs. parent city, state, U.S.J W Smith: 4.54.5J W SmithNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in J W Smith

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37063001810 4.5 4,487 45% $1,452
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 85%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 78%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 69%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in J W Smith

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About J W Smith

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for J W Smith?

J W Smith scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does J W Smith compare to Durham overall?

J W Smith scores 0.5 points higher than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,452 vs $1,508.
Q3

What is the average rent in J W Smith?

Average gross rent in J W Smith is $1,452/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of J W Smith residents are renters?

41% of J W Smith households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 4,487 residents.
Q5

Is J W Smith a high social-vulnerability area?

J W Smith sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is J W Smith for landlords?

J W Smith carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of J W Smith?

J W Smith has 4,742 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (53.5%), Hispanic / Latino (29.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (9.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near J W Smith

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to J W Smith.

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