Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Keene Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham
Tract 37063002026 · Durham County, NC · pop 8,827 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
37063002026 is a census tract in the Keene area of Durham, NC. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 8,827 residents. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units3,284
Renter share66.3%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$57,437
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 35.9458, -78.8971 · click any tract to drill in
Why Keene scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,375 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Keene compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4,713Total filings over 11 yrs
- 31.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 35.4%Peak (2014)
- 308Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Keene. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.0%Housing insecurity
- 15.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.8%Food insecurity
- 25.2%SNAP enrollment
- 15.0%Transit barriers
- 14.3%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 35.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Keene
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Cost burden runs 55% here against 43.8% across Durham County. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
It sits 1.3 points above the Durham County average of 4.1. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Food insecurity runs 27.8% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 25.2% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 4,713 filings here across 11 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 35.4% of renter households were served. Average gross rent is $1,375, 9% below the Durham average.
In a typical year about 31.3% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063002026
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063002026?
Census tract 37063002026 in the Keene neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063002026?
Median gross rent is $1,375/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063002026?
19.9% of residents in tract 37063002026 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,827.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063002026?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 61th, minority 88th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 37063002026 considered part of Keene?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063002026 fall within Keene (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063002026?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4,713 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063002026 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 31.31% of renter households, peaking at 35.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063002026 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063002026 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063002026 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Keene
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Swann's Mill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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