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Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Keene Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 13,770 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Keene is a 2-tract neighborhood of Durham, NC, population 13,770. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Durham rate of 29.4%.

Severe burden reaches 33%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.8/10.

On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 6,318 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

At $1,267 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Durham commands. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 22.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

15.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 35.4% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 14.9% in 2017, is well off that peak.

That places it #1 of 58 neighborhoods in Durham. For a like-for-like read, Burch Avenue and Hillcrest score within a fraction of it.

With little internal variation, 5.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Keene vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.7% +79%
Durham: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$1,267 -16%
Durham: $1,508
Average HH income
$51,654 -35%
Durham: $79,234
Poverty rate
21.1% +73%
Durham: 12.2%
Renter share
55.5% +16%
Durham: 47.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Keene and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Keene scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
56% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
21.1% below poverty line · Range 5.0–5.8 across tracts
5.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.3 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Keene vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Keene score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4KeeneNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Keene

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
37063002026 5.4 8,827 55% $1,375
37063002009 5.4 4,943 49% $1,074
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 94

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 73%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Keene

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 6,318Total filings (sum)
  • 28.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 35.4%Peak year (2014)
  • 15.51%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Keene

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Keene

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Keene?

Keene scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Keene compare to Durham overall?

Keene scores 1.4 points higher than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,267 vs $1,508.
Q3

What is the average rent in Keene?

Average gross rent in Keene is $1,267/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Keene residents are renters?

56% of Keene households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 13,770 residents.
Q5

Is Keene a high social-vulnerability area?

Keene sits in the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Keene have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Keene is census tract 37063002026 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Keene for landlords?

Keene carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Keene?

Keene has 14,152 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (58.8%), Hispanic / Latino (27.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (9.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Keene

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Keene.

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