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Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Keene Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 13,770 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Keene is a 2-tract neighborhood of Durham, NC, population 13,770. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Durham rate of 29.4%.

Severe burden reaches 33%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.8/10.

On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 6,318 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

At $1,267 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Durham commands. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 22.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

15.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 35.4% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 14.9% in 2017, is well off that peak.

That places it #1 of 58 neighborhoods in Durham. For a like-for-like read, Burch Avenue and Hillcrest score within a fraction of it.

With little internal variation, 5.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Keene vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.7% +79%
Durham: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$1,267 -16%
Durham: $1,508
Average HH income
$51,654 -35%
Durham: $79,234
Poverty rate
21.1% +73%
Durham: 12.2%
Renter share
55.5% +16%
Durham: 47.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Keene and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Keene scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
56% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
21.1% below poverty line · Range 5.0–5.8 across tracts
5.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.3 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Keene vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Keene score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Keene: 5.45.4KeeneNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Keene

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37063002026 5.4 8,827 55% $1,375
37063002009 5.4 4,943 49% $1,074
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 94

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 73%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Keene

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 6,318Total filings (sum)
  • 28.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 35.4%Peak year (2014)
  • 15.51%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Keene

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Keene

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Keene?

Keene scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Keene compare to Durham overall?

Keene scores 1.4 points higher than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,267 vs $1,508.
Q3

What is the average rent in Keene?

Average gross rent in Keene is $1,267/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Keene residents are renters?

56% of Keene households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 13,770 residents.
Q5

Is Keene a high social-vulnerability area?

Keene sits in the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Keene have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Keene is census tract 37063002026 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Keene for landlords?

Keene carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Keene?

Keene has 14,152 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (58.8%), Hispanic / Latino (27.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (9.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Keene

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Keene.

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