Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Kitts Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham

Tract 37063002037 · Durham County, NC · pop 6,192 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 37063002037, home to 6,192 residents in the Kitts Creek area of Durham, scores 5.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 67% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,640 a month against an average household income of $81,647 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 73% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 40% Owners 27%

Tract context

Occupied units3,546

Renter share73.5%

SVI overall0.30

Poverty rate2.2%

Median income$81,647

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 35.8794, -78.8432 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kitts Creek scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Durham

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

2.2% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,640 rent vs county FMR

3.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Durham

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Durham

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Durham

4.5

How Kitts Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

32%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
75%Racial/ethnic minority
50%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.4%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
8.5%Food insecurity
5.3%SNAP enrollment
5.6%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
14.1%Frequent mental distress
18.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kitts Creek

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Durham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Durham County average of 5.9 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063002037

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063002037?

Census tract 37063002037 in the Kitts Creek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37063002037?

Median gross rent is $1,640/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063002037?

2.2% of residents in tract 37063002037 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,192.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063002037?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 7th, minority 75th, housing 50th.

Is tract 37063002037 considered part of Kitts Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063002037 fall within Kitts Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 37063002037 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37063002037 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063002037 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.