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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Kitts Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham

Tract 37063002037 · Durham County, NC · pop 6,192 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 3.1/10, tract 37063002037 in the Kitts Creek area of Durham, NC reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,192. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 40% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units3,546
Renter share73.5%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$81,647

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Kitts Creek
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#53 of 70 tracts In Durham
Low
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 68 tracts In Durham County
Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#1,842 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 35.8794, -78.8432 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kitts Creek scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,640 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5

How Kitts Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kitts Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0020374.0Durhamparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kitts Creek

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Disability prevalence runs 18.4% against 31.5% nationally. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 5.3% against 15.2% nationally.

Against the Durham County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. At $1,640 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Durham commands. That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.7/10. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063002037

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063002037?

Census tract 37063002037 in the Kitts Creek neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37063002037?

Median gross rent is $1,640/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063002037?

2.2% of residents in tract 37063002037 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,192.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063002037?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 7th, minority 75th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 37063002037 considered part of Kitts Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063002037 fall within Kitts Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 37063002037 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37063002037 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063002037 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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