Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Kitts Creek Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,192 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Kitts Creek is a white-black neighborhood in Durham with 1 census tract and a population of 6,192 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 46% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 13% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,640/month sits 9% higher than the Durham citywide average ($1,508).

Risk score

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Kitts Creek vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

45.6% +55%

Durham: 29.4%

Average gross rent

$1,640 +9%

Durham: $1,508

Average HH income

$81,647 +3%

Durham: $79,234

Poverty rate

2.2% -82%

Durham: 12.2%

Renter share

73.5% +54%

Durham: 47.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Kitts Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Kitts Creek scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

46% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

74% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

2.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts

3.8

Risk score comparison

Kitts Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Kitts Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37063002037	3	6,192	46%	$1,640

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 30

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 32%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 7%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 50%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Kitts Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.4%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility shutoff threat
8.5%Food insecurity
5.3%SNAP enrollment
6.3%No health insurance
18.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Kitts Creek

What is the eviction-risk score for Kitts Creek?

Kitts Creek scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Kitts Creek compare to Durham overall?

Kitts Creek scores 0.4 points lower than Durham overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,640 vs $1,508.

What is the average rent in Kitts Creek?

Average gross rent in Kitts Creek is $1,640/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Kitts Creek residents are renters?

74% of Kitts Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 6,192 residents.

Is Kitts Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Kitts Creek sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Kitts Creek for landlords?

Kitts Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Kitts Creek?

Kitts Creek has 6,377 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42%), Black (non-Hispanic) (30.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (21.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Kitts Creek

5.1 Keene 2 tracts · pop 13,770 5.2 Annie Day Shepard Dormitory 4 tracts · pop 11,781 3.6 Hope Valley North 2 tracts · pop 10,080 5.2 Hillcrest 2 tracts · pop 8,879 4.5 Beech Lake 2 tracts · pop 4,792 3.9 Crest Street 2 tracts · pop 6,841

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Kitts Creek.

3 Woodcroft 1 tracts · pop 2,860 3 55 at the Park 1 tracts · pop 6,561 3 Creekside at Bethpage 1 tracts · pop 6,399 2.9 Watts Hospital-Hillandale 1 tracts · pop 2,551 2.8 Black Horse Run 1 tracts · pop 9,548 3.2 S H Chandler 1 tracts · pop 6,329

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