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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Ayrsley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Charlotte

Tract 37119005916 · Mecklenburg County, NC · pop 2,567 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 37119005916 runs through the Ayrsley neighborhood of Charlotte. With 2,567 residents, it scores 5.8/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #27,400 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,355 monthly, set against $48,444 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 75% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 32% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units904
Renter share74.9%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$48,444

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Ayrsley
High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 255 tracts In Charlotte
High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#52 of 305 tracts In Mecklenburg County
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#752 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Charlotte and the region

Centroid at 35.1317, -80.9106 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ayrsley scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Charlotte
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,355 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Charlotte
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Charlotte
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Charlotte
3.5

How Ayrsley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ayrsley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 005916Charlotte: 3.23.2Charlotteparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 531Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 25.05%Avg annual filing rate
  • 52.8%Peak (2005)
  • 92Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 371190059162005: 176 filings (52.76/100 renter HHs)2014: 168 filings (22.43/100 renter HHs)2015: 95 filings (12.68/100 renter HHs)2016: 92 filings (12.33/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ayrsley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ayrsley

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Charlotte eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mecklenburg County average of 5.5 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37119005916

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37119005916?

Census tract 37119005916 in the Ayrsley neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37119005916?

Median gross rent is $1,355/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37119005916?

16.1% of residents in tract 37119005916 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,567.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37119005916?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 91th, minority 94th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 37119005916 considered part of Ayrsley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37119005916 fall within Ayrsley (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37119005916?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 531 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 37119005916 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.05% of renter households, peaking at 52.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37119005916 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37119005916 compare to Charlotte overall?

Tract 37119005916 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Charlotte at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Charlotte eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Charlotte

Top eight tracts in Charlotte ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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