Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
East Main Eviction Risk: Lower , Fargo
Tract 38017010107 ·
Cass County, ND · pop 2,968 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
38017010107 is a census tract in the East Main area of Fargo, ND. It scores 3.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,968. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%Stable renters 45%Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,661
Renter share73.8%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$56,510
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In East Main
Moderate
Within parent city
59th percentile
#13 of 30 tracts In Fargo
Elevated
Within county
72th percentile
#13 of 44 tracts In Cass County
Elevated
Within state
71th percentile
#66 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fargo and the region
Centroid at 46.8862, -96.8599 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Main scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fargo
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$898 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fargo
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
How East Main compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
51%Socioeconomic
64%Household composition
55%Racial/ethnic minority
100%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.4%Housing insecurity
6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
12.5%Food insecurity
7.6%SNAP enrollment
7.0%Transit barriers
7.6%No health insurance
13.8%Frequent mental distress
25.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Main
74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 40% of renters. It tracks the Cass County average of 3.5 closely.
Average gross rent is $898, close to the Fargo average. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $56,510.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 38017010107
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017010107?
Census tract 38017010107 in the East Main neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 38017010107?
Median gross rent is $898/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 38017010107?
9.1% of residents in tract 38017010107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,968.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 38017010107?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 64th, minority 55th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 38017010107 considered part of East Main?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017010107 fall within East Main (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 38017010107 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 38017010107 compare to Fargo overall?
Tract 38017010107 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fargo at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fargo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fargo
Top eight tracts in Fargo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.