Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Northport Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fargo
Tract 38017000203 ·
Cass County, ND · pop 2,655 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 38017000203 sits in the Northport area of Fargo eviction risk, ND, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%Stable renters 33%Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,752
Renter share60.4%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$42,692
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Northport
Very High
Within parent city
72th percentile
#9 of 30 tracts In Fargo
Elevated
Within county
81th percentile
#9 of 44 tracts In Cass County
High
Within state
87th percentile
#31 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fargo and the region
Centroid at 46.9178, -96.7830 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northport scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fargo
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$713 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fargo
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
How Northport compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.9%Housing insecurity
5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
9.6%Food insecurity
6.3%SNAP enrollment
5.9%Transit barriers
6.2%No health insurance
12.8%Frequent mental distress
26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northport
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 46% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Cass County average of 36.2%.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $713, 25% below the Fargo average. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
SNAP participation runs 6.3% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.9 points above the Cass County average of 3.5. Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.5/10.
Statewide the ND average is 3.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 38017000203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017000203?
Census tract 38017000203 in the Northport neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 38017000203?
Median gross rent is $713/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 38017000203?
11.8% of residents in tract 38017000203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,655.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 38017000203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 44th, minority 30th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 38017000203 considered part of Northport?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017000203 fall within Northport (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 38017000203 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 38017000203 compare to Fargo overall?
Tract 38017000203 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Fargo at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fargo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fargo
Top eight tracts in Fargo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.