Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Willow Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Fargo

Tract 38017010111 · Cass County, ND · pop 3,211 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

With a score of 3.5/10, tract 38017010111 in the Willow Park area of Fargo, ND reads lower for landlord eviction risk. 18% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Cass County average of 36.2%.

Risk score

3.5

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 71% Owners 14%

Tract context

Occupied units1,682

Renter share86.1%

SVI overall0.62

Poverty rate4.7%

Median income$51,263

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fargo and the region

Centroid at 46.8547, -96.8672 · click any tract to drill in

Why Willow Park scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fargo

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.9

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

4.7% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$877 rent vs county FMR

3.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fargo

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fargo

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fargo

1.5

How Willow Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

71%Socioeconomic
58%Household composition
48%Racial/ethnic minority
45%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Willow Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.4%Housing insecurity
7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
15.1%Food insecurity
9.3%SNAP enrollment
8.4%Transit barriers
9.7%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
23.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Willow Park

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 86% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.2/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 6.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Cass County average of 3.5 closely. Average gross rent is $877, close to the Fargo average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $51,263.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 38017010111

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017010111?

Census tract 38017010111 in the Willow Park neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38017010111?

Median gross rent is $877/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38017010111?

4.7% of residents in tract 38017010111 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,211.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38017010111?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 58th, minority 48th, housing 45th.

Is tract 38017010111 considered part of Willow Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017010111 fall within Willow Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 38017010111 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38017010111 compare to Fargo overall?

Tract 38017010111 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Fargo at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fargo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fargo

Top eight tracts in Fargo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.