Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Grand Forks Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 38035010700 · Grand Forks County, ND · pop 2,299 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Here is how census tract 38035010700, in the Downtown Grand Forks area of Grand Forks eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 2.2/10 eviction-risk score (Lower tier) across a population of 2,299. That ranks it among the lowest-risk tracts in the country for landlords, near the bottom 1% nationally.

18% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $806 a month against an average household income of $66,000 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

3.5

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 38% Owners 54%

Tract context

Occupied units962

Renter share45.6%

SVI overall0.32

Poverty rate9.2%

Median income$66,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Forks and the region

Centroid at 47.9112, -97.0503 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Grand Forks scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Grand Forks

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

9.2% poverty · this tract

2.3

Supply constraint

$806 rent vs county FMR

3.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Grand Forks

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Grand Forks

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Grand Forks

1.5

How Downtown Grand Forks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

16%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
72%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Grand Forks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.0%Housing insecurity
5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
9.0%Food insecurity
5.5%SNAP enrollment
5.7%Transit barriers
6.5%No health insurance
14.4%Frequent mental distress
27.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Grand Forks

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 3.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Grand Forks eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Grand Forks County average of 3.2 and below the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 38035010700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38035010700?

Census tract 38035010700 in the Downtown Grand Forks neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38035010700?

Median gross rent is $806/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38035010700?

9.2% of residents in tract 38035010700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,299.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38035010700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 27th, minority 36th, housing 72th.

Is tract 38035010700 considered part of Downtown Grand Forks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38035010700 fall within Downtown Grand Forks (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 38035010700 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38035010700 compare to Grand Forks overall?

Tract 38035010700 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Grand Forks at 1.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Forks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Forks

Top eight tracts in Grand Forks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.