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Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Grand Forks Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 38035010900 · Grand Forks County, ND · pop 2,100 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 38035010900 (the Downtown Grand Forks neighborhood of Grand Forks, North Dakota) comes in at 3.3/10, the Lower tier. On the national scale it ranks #81,059 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

71% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,104 a month against an average household income of $83,556 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 10% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 3% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units878
Renter share10.5%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$83,556

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Downtown Grand Forks
Very Low
Within parent city
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 17 tracts In Grand Forks
Very Low
Within county
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 22 tracts In Grand Forks County
Low
Within state
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#82 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Forks and the region

Centroid at 47.9082, -97.0222 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Grand Forks scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Grand Forks
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,104 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Grand Forks
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Grand Forks
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Grand Forks
1.5

How Downtown Grand Forks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Grand Forks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 010900Grand Forks: 1.81.8Grand Forksparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.13.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Grand Forks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Grand Forks

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Grand Forks eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Grand Forks County average of 3.2 and in line with the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 38035010900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38035010900?

Census tract 38035010900 in the Downtown Grand Forks neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38035010900?

Median gross rent is $1,104/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38035010900?

11.1% of residents in tract 38035010900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,100.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38035010900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 13th, minority 13th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 38035010900 considered part of Downtown Grand Forks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38035010900 fall within Downtown Grand Forks (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 38035010900 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 38035010900 compare to Grand Forks overall?

Tract 38035010900 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Grand Forks at 1.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Forks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Forks

Top eight tracts in Grand Forks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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