Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Grand Forks Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 38035011000 · Grand Forks County, ND · pop 2,043 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Here is how census tract 38035011000, in the Downtown Grand Forks neighborhood of Grand Forks eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 2.9/10 eviction-risk score (Lower tier) across a population of 2,043. It lands near the 2nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

29% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,219 monthly, set against $81,211 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 19% Owners 73%

Tract context

Occupied units753

Renter share26.8%

SVI overall0.28

Poverty rate17.5%

Median income$81,211

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Forks and the region

Centroid at 47.9114, -97.0404 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Grand Forks scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Grand Forks

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

17.5% poverty · this tract

4.4

Supply constraint

$1,219 rent vs county FMR

7.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Grand Forks

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Grand Forks

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Grand Forks

1.5

How Downtown Grand Forks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

25%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
37%Racial/ethnic minority
33%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Grand Forks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.2%Housing insecurity
7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
13.5%Food insecurity
9.7%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
8.1%No health insurance
16.2%Frequent mental distress
30.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Grand Forks

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Grand Forks eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Grand Forks County average of 3.2 and in line with the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 38035011000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38035011000?

Census tract 38035011000 in the Downtown Grand Forks neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38035011000?

Median gross rent is $1,219/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38035011000?

17.5% of residents in tract 38035011000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,043.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38035011000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 43th, minority 37th, housing 33th.

Is tract 38035011000 considered part of Downtown Grand Forks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38035011000 fall within Downtown Grand Forks (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 38035011000 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38035011000 compare to Grand Forks overall?

Tract 38035011000 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Grand Forks at 1.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Forks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Forks

Top eight tracts in Grand Forks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.