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Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Middletown Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39017013900 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,269 · 81% of tract blocks fall in Middletown

Census tract 39017013900 covers part of Middletown, OH, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. 14% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Butler County average of 39.6%.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 33% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,052
Renter share38.2%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate15.0%
Median income$68,341

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 18 tracts In Middletown
Low
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 86 tracts In Butler County
Elevated
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#933 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,842 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middletown and the region

Centroid at 39.4817, -84.3992 · click any tract to drill in

Why Middletown scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
15.0% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,076 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1

How Middletown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Middletown risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 0139004.2Middletownparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 771Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 12.70%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.6%Peak (2018)
  • 79Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39017013900
Filings climbed 46% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Middletown

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.8/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 771 filings here across 13 tracked years.

Against the Butler County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2018, when 13.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 12.7% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.1/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,076, close to the Middletown average. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $68,341. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39017013900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017013900?

Census tract 39017013900 in Middletown scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39017013900?

Median gross rent is $1,076/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39017013900?

15.0% of residents in tract 39017013900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,269.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39017013900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 21th, minority 1th, housing 5th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017013900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 771 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017013900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.70% of renter households, peaking at 13.6% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39017013900 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39017013900 compare to Middletown overall?

Tract 39017013900 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Middletown

Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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