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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Lancaster West Main Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39045031700 · Fairfield County, OH · pop 4,000 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

39045031700 is a census tract in the Lancaster West Main Street Historic District area of Lancaster, OH. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,000. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 31% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,495
Renter share50.7%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$46,307

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Lancaster West Main Street Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 12 tracts In Lancaster
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 36 tracts In Fairfield County
Very High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 39.7196, -82.6171 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lancaster West Main Street Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$968 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.4

How Lancaster West Main Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lancaster West Main Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0317004.0Lancasterparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 756Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 6.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.9%Peak (2015)
  • 61Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39045031700
Filings climbed 45% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lancaster West Main Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lancaster West Main Street Historic District

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

It sits 1.4 points above the Fairfield County average of 4.0. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 756 filings here across 13 tracked years.

At $968 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Lancaster commands. The worst year on record was 2015, when 6.9% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 6.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39045031700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39045031700?

Census tract 39045031700 in the Lancaster West Main Street Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39045031700?

Median gross rent is $968/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39045031700?

11.2% of residents in tract 39045031700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,000.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39045031700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 33th, minority 13th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 39045031700 considered part of Lancaster West Main Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39045031700 fall within Lancaster West Main Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39045031700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 756 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39045031700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.67% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39045031700 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39045031700 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 39045031700 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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