Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Lancaster West Main Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39045031700 · Fairfield County, OH · pop 4,000 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 39045031700 belongs to Lancaster West Main Street Historic District in Lancaster, Ohio. It is home to 4,000 residents and scores 5.2/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 45th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $968 a month against an average household income of $46,307 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,495
Renter share50.7%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$46,307
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lancaster and the region
Centroid at 39.7196, -82.6171 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lancaster West Main Street Historic District scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$968 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.4
How Lancaster West Main Street Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 13%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 756Total filings over 13 yrs
- 6.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.9%Peak (2015)
- 61Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 45% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lancaster West Main Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.7%Housing insecurity
- 11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.4%Food insecurity
- 20.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.1%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 36.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lancaster West Main Street Historic District
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfield County average of 5.0 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 756 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 6.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.9% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39045031700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39045031700?
Census tract 39045031700 in the Lancaster West Main Street Historic District neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39045031700?
Median gross rent is $968/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39045031700?
11.2% of residents in tract 39045031700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,000.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39045031700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 33th, minority 13th, housing 45th.
Q5
Is tract 39045031700 considered part of Lancaster West Main Street Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39045031700 fall within Lancaster West Main Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39045031700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 756 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39045031700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.67% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39045031700 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39045031700 compare to Lancaster overall?
Tract 39045031700 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster
Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Lancaster Methodist Episcopal Camp Ground Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Lancaster West Main Street Historic District
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39045031300
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Lancaster West Main Street Historic District
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Lancaster Historic District
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Lancaster Methodist Episcopal Camp Ground Historic District
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39045031402
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Lancaster Historic District
3.5
/ 10 · Low
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