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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Lancaster West Main Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39045032000 · Fairfield County, OH · pop 3,539 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 39045032000 sits in the Lancaster West Main Street Historic District area of Lancaster eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.3/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 42% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,326
Renter share68.6%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate26.1%
Median income$47,168

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Lancaster West Main Street Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 12 tracts In Lancaster
Very High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 36 tracts In Fairfield County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 39.7191, -82.6056 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lancaster West Main Street Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
26.1% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$909 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.4

How Lancaster West Main Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lancaster West Main Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0320004.0Lancasterparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 728Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 6.43%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.6%Peak (2015)
  • 51Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39045032000
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lancaster West Main Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lancaster West Main Street Historic District

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Fairfield County average of 4.0.

14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $909 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Lancaster commands. The filing record is not thin: 728 evictions over 13 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 7.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39045032000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39045032000?

Census tract 39045032000 in the Lancaster West Main Street Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39045032000?

Median gross rent is $909/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39045032000?

26.1% of residents in tract 39045032000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,539.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39045032000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 34th, minority 38th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 39045032000 considered part of Lancaster West Main Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39045032000 fall within Lancaster West Main Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39045032000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 728 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39045032000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.43% of renter households, peaking at 7.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39045032000 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39045032000 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 39045032000 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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