Downtown Lorain Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39093023300 · Lorain County, OH · pop 2,327 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 39093023300 sits in the Downtown Lorain area of Lorain eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lorain and the region
Centroid at 41.4473, -82.1759 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Lorain scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Downtown Lorain compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 16%Grade B
- 49%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 810Total filings over 11 yrs
- 16.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.4%Peak (2015)
- 51Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Lorain. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.9%Housing insecurity
- 21.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.8%Food insecurity
- 36.1%SNAP enrollment
- 18.7%Transit barriers
- 20.2%No health insurance
- 23.2%Frequent mental distress
- 42.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Lorain
The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Food insecurity runs 37.8% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.
Against the Lorain County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. Against Lorain County at 40.1%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened.
Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 810 filings here across 11 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 23.4% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 39093023300
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093023300?
What is the average rent in tract 39093023300?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093023300?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093023300?
Is tract 39093023300 considered part of Downtown Lorain?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093023300?
What share of households in tract 39093023300 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39093023300 compare to Lorain overall?
Was tract 39093023300 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Lorain
Top eight tracts in Lorain ranked by composite eviction-risk score.