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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Lorain Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39093023300 · Lorain County, OH · pop 2,327 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 39093023300 sits in the Downtown Lorain area of Lorain eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 32% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units928
Renter share64.1%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate42.6%
Median income$42,098

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Downtown Lorain
Elevated
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 21 tracts In Lorain
Elevated
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#190 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lorain and the region

Centroid at 41.4473, -82.1759 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Lorain scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lorain
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
42.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$937 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lorain
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lorain
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lorain
8.0

How Downtown Lorain compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Lorain risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.9This tracttract 0233004.5Lorainparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 810Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 16.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.4%Peak (2015)
  • 51Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39093023300
Filings dropped 41% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Lorain. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Lorain

The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Food insecurity runs 37.8% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

Against the Lorain County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. Against Lorain County at 40.1%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened.

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 810 filings here across 11 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 23.4% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093023300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093023300?

Census tract 39093023300 in the Downtown Lorain neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093023300?

Median gross rent is $937/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093023300?

42.6% of residents in tract 39093023300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,327.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093023300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 97th, minority 72th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 39093023300 considered part of Downtown Lorain?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093023300 fall within Downtown Lorain (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093023300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 810 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093023300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.93% of renter households, peaking at 23.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39093023300 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39093023300 compare to Lorain overall?

Tract 39093023300 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lorain at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lorain eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39093023300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lorain

Top eight tracts in Lorain ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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