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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Evergreen Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lorain

Tract 39093023400 · Lorain County, OH · pop 1,850 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 39093023400 runs through the Evergreen Village area of Lorain. With 1,850 residents, it scores 5.9/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 71% of US census tracts.

53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $534 monthly, set against $60,396 in average yearly household income, roughly 11% of income at the averages. About 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 14% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,019
Renter share30.2%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$60,396

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Evergreen Village
Very Low
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 21 tracts In Lorain
Low
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Elevated
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#1,081 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lorain and the region

Centroid at 41.4367, -82.1946 · click any tract to drill in

Why Evergreen Village scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lorain
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$534 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lorain
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lorain
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lorain
8.0

How Evergreen Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Evergreen Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 023400Lorain: 2.92.9Lorainparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 82Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 3.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.1%Peak (2018)
  • 18Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390930234002002: 4 filings (1.73/100 renter HHs)2003: 7 filings (3.03/100 renter HHs)2004: 6 filings (2.60/100 renter HHs)2005: 5 filings (1.79/100 renter HHs)2006: 4 filings (1.43/100 renter HHs)2012: 5 filings (2.45/100 renter HHs)2013: 7 filings (3.43/100 renter HHs)2014: 5 filings (2.45/100 renter HHs)2015: 11 filings (5.39/100 renter HHs)2016: 10 filings (3.39/100 renter HHs)2018: 18 filings (6.10/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 350% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Evergreen Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Evergreen Village

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lorain eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lorain County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093023400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093023400?

Census tract 39093023400 in the Evergreen Village neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093023400?

Median gross rent is $534/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093023400?

14.5% of residents in tract 39093023400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,850.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093023400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 51th, minority 55th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 39093023400 considered part of Evergreen Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093023400 fall within Evergreen Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093023400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 82 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093023400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.07% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39093023400 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39093023400 compare to Lorain overall?

Tract 39093023400 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Lorain at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lorain eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lorain

Top eight tracts in Lorain ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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