Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Evergreen Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lorain
Tract 39093022601 · Lorain County, OH · pop 2,894 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 6.3/10, tract 39093022601 in the Evergreen Village area of Lorain ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,894 residents. That is riskier than about 82% of US census tracts.
About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $899 a month against an average household income of $47,355 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,313
Renter share54.5%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate24.4%
Median income$47,355
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lorain and the region
Centroid at 41.4518, -82.2124 · click any tract to drill in
Why Evergreen Village scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lorain
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
24.4% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$899 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lorain
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lorain
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lorain
8.0
How Evergreen Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 3%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 841Total filings over 11 yrs
- 12.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.2%Peak (2003)
- 70Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Evergreen Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.1%Housing insecurity
- 11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.9%Food insecurity
- 18.0%SNAP enrollment
- 10.4%Transit barriers
- 12.4%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 36.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Evergreen Village
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lorain eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lorain County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 841 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 12.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.2% of renter households in 2003.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093022601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093022601?
Census tract 39093022601 in the Evergreen Village neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39093022601?
Median gross rent is $899/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093022601?
24.4% of residents in tract 39093022601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,894.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093022601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 95th, minority 72th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 39093022601 considered part of Evergreen Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093022601 fall within Evergreen Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093022601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 841 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093022601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.48% of renter households, peaking at 17.2% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39093022601 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39093022601 compare to Lorain overall?
Tract 39093022601 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lorain at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lorain eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39093022601 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lorain
Top eight tracts in Lorain ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Pearl Village
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Lorain
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Evergreen Village
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Lorain
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Lorain
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Lorain
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Lorain
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Lorain
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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