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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Evergreen Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lorain

Tract 39093022601 · Lorain County, OH · pop 2,894 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 5.9/10, tract 39093022601 in the Evergreen Village area of Lorain, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,894 residents. Cost burden runs 55% here against 40.1% across Lorain County.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 24% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,313
Renter share54.5%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate24.4%
Median income$47,355

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Evergreen Village
Very High
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 21 tracts In Lorain
High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#190 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lorain and the region

Centroid at 41.4518, -82.2124 · click any tract to drill in

Why Evergreen Village scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lorain
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
24.4% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$899 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lorain
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lorain
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lorain
8.0

How Evergreen Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Evergreen Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.9This tracttract 0226014.5Lorainparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 841Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 12.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.2%Peak (2003)
  • 70Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39093022601
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Evergreen Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Evergreen Village

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against the Lorain County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10. The filing record is not thin: 841 evictions over 11 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2003 at 17.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lorain. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 12.5% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093022601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093022601?

Census tract 39093022601 in the Evergreen Village neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093022601?

Median gross rent is $899/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093022601?

24.4% of residents in tract 39093022601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,894.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093022601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 95th, minority 72th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 39093022601 considered part of Evergreen Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093022601 fall within Evergreen Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093022601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 841 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093022601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.48% of renter households, peaking at 17.2% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39093022601 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39093022601 compare to Lorain overall?

Tract 39093022601 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lorain at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lorain eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39093022601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lorain

Top eight tracts in Lorain ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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