Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Evergreen Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lorain
Tract 39093024200 · Lorain County, OH · pop 5,291 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
39093024200 is a census tract in the Evergreen Village area of Lorain, OH. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,291 residents. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units2,082
Renter share49.9%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate28.6%
Median income$61,210
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lorain and the region
Centroid at 41.4238, -82.1956 · click any tract to drill in
Why Evergreen Village scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lorain
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
28.6% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$846 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lorain
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lorain
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lorain
8.0
How Evergreen Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 981Total filings over 11 yrs
- 8.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2012)
- 90Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 45% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Evergreen Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.3%Housing insecurity
- 13.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.2%Food insecurity
- 21.9%SNAP enrollment
- 12.1%Transit barriers
- 13.5%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Evergreen Village
Against Lorain County at 40.1%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.
It sits 1.8 points above the Lorain County average of 4.1. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8/10.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 981 filings here across 11 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 11.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 8.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8/10. Against average income of $61,210, annual rent is just 17%.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093024200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093024200?
Census tract 39093024200 in the Evergreen Village neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39093024200?
Median gross rent is $846/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093024200?
28.6% of residents in tract 39093024200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,291.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093024200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 97th, minority 63th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 39093024200 considered part of Evergreen Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093024200 fall within Evergreen Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093024200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 981 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093024200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.40% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39093024200 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39093024200 compare to Lorain overall?
Tract 39093024200 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lorain at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lorain eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lorain
Top eight tracts in Lorain ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Evergreen Village
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
HarborWalk
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Lorain
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Lorain
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Lorain
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Lorain
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Pearl Village
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
HarborWalk
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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