Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Evergreen Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lorain
Tract 39093024200 · Lorain County, OH · pop 5,291 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Here is how census tract 39093024200, in the Evergreen Village area of Lorain eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.4/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 5,291. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 61% of renter households, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $846 monthly, set against $61,210 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units2,082
Renter share49.9%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate28.6%
Median income$61,210
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lorain and the region
Centroid at 41.4238, -82.1956 · click any tract to drill in
Why Evergreen Village scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lorain
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
28.6% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$846 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lorain
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lorain
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lorain
8.0
How Evergreen Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 981Total filings over 11 yrs
- 8.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2012)
- 90Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 45% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Evergreen Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.3%Housing insecurity
- 13.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.2%Food insecurity
- 21.9%SNAP enrollment
- 12.1%Transit barriers
- 13.5%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Evergreen Village
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lorain eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lorain County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 981 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 8.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.9% of renter households in 2012.
In CDC survey modeling, about 18.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093024200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093024200?
Census tract 39093024200 in the Evergreen Village neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39093024200?
Median gross rent is $846/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093024200?
28.6% of residents in tract 39093024200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,291.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093024200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 97th, minority 63th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 39093024200 considered part of Evergreen Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093024200 fall within Evergreen Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093024200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 981 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093024200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.40% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39093024200 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39093024200 compare to Lorain overall?
Tract 39093024200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lorain at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lorain eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lorain
Top eight tracts in Lorain ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Pearl Village
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Lorain
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Evergreen Village
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Lorain
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Lorain
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Lorain
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Lorain
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Pearl Village
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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