Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

The Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lorain

Tract 39093097201 · Lorain County, OH · pop 4,248 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

39093097201 is a census tract in the The Oaks area of Lorain, OH. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,248. Cost burden runs 20% here against 40.1% across Lorain County.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 22% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units1,678

Renter share28.1%

SVI overall0.58

Poverty rate10.3%

Median income$85,208

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lorain and the region

Centroid at 41.4249, -82.2603 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Oaks scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lorain

5.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.9

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

10.3% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$684 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lorain

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lorain

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lorain

8.0

How The Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

30%Socioeconomic
19%Household composition
41%Racial/ethnic minority
99%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.5%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
12.3%Food insecurity
9.2%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
7.8%No health insurance
17.5%Frequent mental distress
27.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Oaks

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

At $684 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Lorain commands. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 10% of average household income of $85,208, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Lorain County average of 4.1 closely. 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093097201

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093097201?

Census tract 39093097201 in the The Oaks neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39093097201?

Median gross rent is $684/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093097201?

10.3% of residents in tract 39093097201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,248.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093097201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 19th, minority 41th, housing 99th.

Is tract 39093097201 considered part of The Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093097201 fall within The Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39093097201 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39093097201 compare to Lorain overall?

Tract 39093097201 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lorain at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lorain eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lorain

Top eight tracts in Lorain ranked by composite eviction-risk score.