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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Elyria Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39093097600 · Lorain County, OH · pop 3,115 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 39093097600 in the Downtown Elyria area of Elyria, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,115. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 36% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,403
Renter share82.4%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate43.1%
Median income$26,186

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Downtown Elyria
Very Low
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 18 tracts In Elyria
Very High
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#22 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elyria and the region

Centroid at 41.3651, -82.1087 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Elyria scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
43.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$583 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elyria
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elyria
6.4

How Downtown Elyria compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Elyria risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0976004.0Elyriaparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Elyria. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Elyria

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Cost burden runs 57% here against 40.1% across Lorain County.

The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $583, 36% below the Elyria average. Disability prevalence runs 51.2% against 31.5% nationally.

This is renter territory: 82% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10.

It sits 1.3 points above the Lorain County average of 4.1. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093097600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093097600?

Census tract 39093097600 in the Downtown Elyria neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093097600?

Median gross rent is $583/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093097600?

43.1% of residents in tract 39093097600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,115.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093097600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 89th, minority 53th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 39093097600 considered part of Downtown Elyria?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093097600 fall within Downtown Elyria (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 39093097600 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39093097600 compare to Elyria overall?

Tract 39093097600 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Elyria at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elyria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elyria

Top eight tracts in Elyria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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