Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Elyria Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39093097600 · Lorain County, OH · pop 3,115 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Eviction risk in the Downtown Elyria area of Elyria centers on tract 39093097600, which scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 3,115 residents. It lands near the 86th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $583 a month while the average household earns $26,186 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 82% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 36% Owners 17%

Tract context

Occupied units1,403

Renter share82.4%

SVI overall0.97

Poverty rate43.1%

Median income$26,186

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elyria and the region

Centroid at 41.3651, -82.1087 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Elyria scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Elyria

5.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.9

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

43.1% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$583 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Elyria

5.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Elyria

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Elyria

6.4

How Downtown Elyria compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

95%Socioeconomic
89%Household composition
53%Racial/ethnic minority
97%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Elyria. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.4%Housing insecurity
17.5%Utility-shutoff threat
32.0%Food insecurity
34.4%SNAP enrollment
16.0%Transit barriers
15.3%No health insurance
21.0%Frequent mental distress
51.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Elyria

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elyria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lorain County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093097600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093097600?

Census tract 39093097600 in the Downtown Elyria neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39093097600?

Median gross rent is $583/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093097600?

43.1% of residents in tract 39093097600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,115.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093097600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 89th, minority 53th, housing 97th.

Is tract 39093097600 considered part of Downtown Elyria?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093097600 fall within Downtown Elyria (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39093097600 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39093097600 compare to Elyria overall?

Tract 39093097600 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Elyria at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elyria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elyria

Top eight tracts in Elyria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.