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Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Eastern Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Elyria

Tract 39093071202 · Lorain County, OH · pop 3,817 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

How risky is the Eastern Heights neighborhood of Elyria for landlords? Census tract 39093071202 scores 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #46,245 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $881 a month while the average household earns $85,585 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 10% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,600
Renter share17.4%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$85,585

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Eastern Heights
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 18 tracts In Elyria
Very Low
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#46 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Moderate
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#1,935 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elyria and the region

Centroid at 41.3540, -82.0776 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastern Heights scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$881 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elyria
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elyria
6.4

How Eastern Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eastern Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 071202Elyria: 2.72.7Elyriaparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 173Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 3.85%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak (2006)
  • 11Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390930712022002: 19 filings (3.81/100 renter HHs)2003: 13 filings (2.61/100 renter HHs)2004: 18 filings (3.61/100 renter HHs)2005: 24 filings (4.76/100 renter HHs)2006: 36 filings (7.13/100 renter HHs)2012: 12 filings (3.02/100 renter HHs)2013: 10 filings (2.51/100 renter HHs)2014: 13 filings (3.27/100 renter HHs)2015: 11 filings (2.76/100 renter HHs)2016: 6 filings (3.12/100 renter HHs)2018: 11 filings (5.73/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eastern Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastern Heights

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elyria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lorain County average of 5.3 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093071202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093071202?

Census tract 39093071202 in the Eastern Heights neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093071202?

Median gross rent is $881/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093071202?

5.3% of residents in tract 39093071202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,817.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093071202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 31th, minority 23th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 39093071202 considered part of Eastern Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093071202 fall within Eastern Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093071202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 173 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093071202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.85% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39093071202 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39093071202 compare to Elyria overall?

Tract 39093071202 scores 3/10, higher than the parent city of Elyria at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elyria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elyria

Top eight tracts in Elyria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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