Northriver Eviction Risk: Elevated , Toledo
Tract 39095001202 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,869 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 39095001202 sits in the Northriver neighborhood of Toledo eviction risk, Ohio eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. That is riskier than about 49% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 18% of renter households, a modest level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $321 a month against an average household income of $25,768 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 80% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.6809, -83.5000 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northriver scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Northriver compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 30%Grade C
- 27%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,270Total filings over 15 yrs
- 15.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.3%Peak (2006)
- 70Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northriver. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 40.8%Housing insecurity
- 35.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 56.0%Food insecurity
- 60.9%SNAP enrollment
- 30.0%Transit barriers
- 24.6%No health insurance
- 27.9%Frequent mental distress
- 49.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Northriver
What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lucas County average of 5.5 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Part of this tract, about 27% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 39095001202
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095001202?
What is the average rent in tract 39095001202?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095001202?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095001202?
Is tract 39095001202 considered part of Northriver?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095001202?
What share of households in tract 39095001202 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39095001202 compare to Toledo overall?
Was tract 39095001202 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.