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Neighborhood · Toledo, OH

Northriver Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 4,260 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.5–6

Northriver is a black-white neighborhood in Toledo with 2 census tracts and a population of 4,260 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 22% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 10% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $498/month sits 45% lower than the Toledo citywide average ($901).

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Northriver vs Toledo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
21.7% -24%
Toledo: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$498 -45%
Toledo: $901
Average HH income
$30,092 -37%
Toledo: $47,532
Poverty rate
39.3% +60%
Toledo: 24.5%
Renter share
64.4% +38%
Toledo: 46.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northriver and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.5–6

Why Northriver scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
22% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
64% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
39.3% below poverty line · Range 9.4–10.0 across tracts
9.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.2 across tracts
1.7
Risk score comparison

Northriver vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Northriver score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Northriver: 5.85.8NorthriverNeighborhoodParent city: 3.33.3Parent cityhost cityState: 2.82.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Northriver

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39095001202 6 2,869 18% $321
39095002000 5.5 1,391 29% $863
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 55%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 71%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Northriver

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,927Total filings (sum)
  • 15.90%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.5%Peak year (2014)
  • 15.19%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northriver

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Northriver

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Northriver?

Northriver scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Northriver compare to Toledo overall?

Northriver scores 2.5 points higher than Toledo overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 22% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $498 vs $901.
Q3

What is the average rent in Northriver?

Average gross rent in Northriver is $498/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Northriver residents are renters?

64% of Northriver households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in Toledo). The neighborhood has 4,260 residents.
Q5

Is Northriver a high social-vulnerability area?

Northriver sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Northriver have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Northriver is census tract 39095001202 (score 6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.5 to 6, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Northriver for landlords?

Northriver carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Toledo as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Northriver?

Northriver has 4,152 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (46.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (36.5%), Hispanic / Latino (9.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northriver

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Toledo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northriver.

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