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Neighborhood · Toledo, OH

Northriver Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 4,260 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Northriver spans 2 census tracts of Toledo, OH and houses 4,260 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Average gross rent is $498, 45% below the Toledo average of $901.

SNAP participation is 48.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 9.6/10. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 33.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.7/10. 22% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, under the Toledo rate of 28.4%. Filings are well documented here: 1,927 across 2 observed tracts.

10% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 20.5% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 16.3% in 2018 against a 20.5% peak.

Among the 45 mapped neighborhoods of Toledo, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Uptown and Downtown score within a fraction of it.

With little internal variation, 5.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Northriver vs Toledo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
21.7% -24%
Toledo: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$498 -45%
Toledo: $901
Average HH income
$30,092 -37%
Toledo: $47,532
Poverty rate
39.3% +60%
Toledo: 24.5%
Renter share
64.4% +38%
Toledo: 46.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northriver and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Northriver scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
22% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
64% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
39.3% below poverty line · Range 9.4–10.0 across tracts
9.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.2 across tracts
1.7
Risk score comparison

Northriver vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Northriver score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4NorthriverNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Northriver

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39095001202 5.4 2,869 18% $321
39095002000 5.4 1,391 29% $863
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 55%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 71%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Northriver

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,927Total filings (sum)
  • 15.90%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.5%Peak year (2014)
  • 15.19%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northriver

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Northriver

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Northriver?

Northriver scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Northriver compare to Toledo overall?

Northriver scores 1.4 points higher than Toledo overall (4/10). Renters spend 22% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $498 vs $901.
Q3

What is the average rent in Northriver?

Average gross rent in Northriver is $498/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Northriver residents are renters?

64% of Northriver households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in Toledo). The neighborhood has 4,260 residents.
Q5

Is Northriver a high social-vulnerability area?

Northriver sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Northriver have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Northriver is census tract 39095001202 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Northriver for landlords?

Northriver carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Toledo as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Northriver?

Northriver has 4,152 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (46.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (36.5%), Hispanic / Latino (9.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northriver

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Toledo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northriver.

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