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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Deveaux Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095000703 · Lucas County, OH · pop 605 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

For landlords sizing up the Deveaux neighborhood of Toledo, census tract 39095000703 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. On the national scale it ranks #40,107 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 17% of renter households, a modest level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $805 a month while the average household earns $46,146 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 33% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units385
Renter share40.3%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate40.0%
Median income$46,146

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Deveaux
High
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#55 of 121 tracts In Toledo
Elevated
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Elevated
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#622 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6805, -83.5954 · click any tract to drill in

Why Deveaux scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
40.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$805 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How Deveaux compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Deveaux risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 000703Toledo: 3.33.3Toledoparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Deveaux. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Deveaux

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lucas County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095000703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095000703?

Census tract 39095000703 in the Deveaux neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095000703?

Median gross rent is $805/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095000703?

40.0% of residents in tract 39095000703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 605.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095000703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 4th, minority 58th, housing 34th.
Q5

Is tract 39095000703 considered part of Deveaux?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095000703 fall within Deveaux (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 39095000703 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39095000703 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095000703 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39095000703 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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