Deveaux Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. SNAP participation runs 23.6% against 15.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $805 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Toledo commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.9/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.