Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Old West End Eviction Risk: Lower , Toledo

Tract 39095001602 · Lucas County, OH · pop 1,255 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 39095001602 covers part of the Old West End area of Toledo, OH, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,255 residents. 67% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

3.9

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 8% Owners 73%

Tract context

Occupied units583

Renter share26.2%

SVI overall0.19

Poverty rate15.0%

Median income$70,114

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6743, -83.5598 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old West End scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Toledo

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

15.0% poverty · this tract

3.8

Supply constraint

$1,181 rent vs county FMR

6.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Toledo

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Toledo

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Toledo

4.0

How Old West End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
32%Household composition
53%Racial/ethnic minority
1%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
100%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old West End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.0%Housing insecurity
13.2%Utility-shutoff threat
19.5%Food insecurity
17.3%SNAP enrollment
10.4%Transit barriers
7.6%No health insurance
17.7%Frequent mental distress
30.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old West End

71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Lucas County average of 41.3%. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,181, 31% above the Toledo average.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Lucas County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $70,114. 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095001602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095001602?

Census tract 39095001602 in the Old West End neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39095001602?

Median gross rent is $1,181/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095001602?

15.0% of residents in tract 39095001602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,255.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095001602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 32th, minority 53th, housing 1th.

Is tract 39095001602 considered part of Old West End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095001602 fall within Old West End (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39095001602 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39095001602 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095001602 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39095001602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.