Within parent city
84
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39113004600 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,481
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 39113004600 in Dayton, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,481. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units462
Renter share30.1%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate43.0%
Median income$29,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7428, -84.2551 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dayton scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
43.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$648 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5
How Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 24%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 323Total filings over 17 yrs
- 9.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.0%Peak (2005)
- 12Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.4%Housing insecurity
- 26.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 43.2%Food insecurity
- 47.4%SNAP enrollment
- 22.7%Transit barriers
- 17.5%No health insurance
- 21.6%Frequent mental distress
- 50.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dayton
The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Food insecurity runs 43.2% against 17.8% nationally.
The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. At $648 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Dayton commands.
Housing insecurity runs 29.4% against 14.2% nationally. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Cost burden runs about half here against 42.9% across Montgomery County.
The filing record is not thin: 323 evictions over 17 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2005 at 25.0% of renter households.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 9.1% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113004600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113004600?
Census tract 39113004600 in Dayton scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113004600?
Median gross rent is $648/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113004600?
43.0% of residents in tract 39113004600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,481.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113004600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 75th, minority 78th, housing 70th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113004600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 323 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113004600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.11% of renter households, peaking at 25.0% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39113004600 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39113004600 compare to Dayton overall?
Tract 39113004600 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 39113004600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 24% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
39113001100
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113070202
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
McPherson Town Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Eagle Ridge
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Kossuth Colony Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
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5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Walnut Hills
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113080700
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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