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Census Tract · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Kettering Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 39113020900 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,932

Here is how census tract 39113020900, in Kettering eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.8/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,932. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 29% of renter households, a moderate level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $821 monthly, set against $69,750 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 29% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,542
Renter share40.1%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$69,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 23 tracts In Kettering
Low
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#117 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Low
Within state
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#2,255 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
National
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#65,113 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Kettering and the region

Centroid at 39.7094, -84.1569 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kettering scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$821 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.9

How Kettering compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kettering risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 020900Kettering: 2.42.4Ketteringparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 278Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 2.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.9%Peak (2015)
  • 22Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391130209002002: 18 filings (2.83/100 renter HHs)2003: 20 filings (3.14/100 renter HHs)2004: 8 filings (1.26/100 renter HHs)2005: 20 filings (3.87/100 renter HHs)2006: 9 filings (1.74/100 renter HHs)2007: 13 filings (2.51/100 renter HHs)2008: 16 filings (3.09/100 renter HHs)2009: 6 filings (1.16/100 renter HHs)2010: 15 filings (2.44/100 renter HHs)2011: 22 filings (3.05/100 renter HHs)2012: 21 filings (2.91/100 renter HHs)2013: 11 filings (1.52/100 renter HHs)2014: 15 filings (2.08/100 renter HHs)2015: 28 filings (3.88/100 renter HHs)2016: 21 filings (2.82/100 renter HHs)2017: 13 filings (1.74/100 renter HHs)2018: 22 filings (2.95/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 22% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kettering

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Kettering eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 278 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 2.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.9% of renter households in 2015.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113020900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113020900?

Census tract 39113020900 in Kettering scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113020900?

Median gross rent is $821/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113020900?

5.7% of residents in tract 39113020900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,932.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113020900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 29th, minority 15th, housing 14th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113020900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 278 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113020900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.53% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113020900 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113020900 compare to Kettering overall?

Tract 39113020900 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Kettering at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39113020900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Kettering

Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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