Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Hartford Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow
Tract 40145030406 ·
Wagoner County, OK · pop 5,043 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 40145030406 sits in the Hartford Park area of Broken Arrow eviction risk, OK, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 5,043. The voucher gap is 43.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%Stable renters 7%Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,788
Renter share11.1%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$91,293
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Hartford Park
Very Low
Within parent city
16th percentile
#37 of 44 tracts In Broken Arrow
Very Low
Within county
38th percentile
#16 of 25 tracts In Wagoner County
Low
Within state
35th percentile
#781 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region
Centroid at 36.0963, -95.7428 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hartford Park scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.5
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,695 rent vs county FMR
9.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
How Hartford Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
33%Socioeconomic
54%Household composition
55%Racial/ethnic minority
24%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hartford Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.2%Housing insecurity
8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
14.3%Food insecurity
11.0%SNAP enrollment
7.7%Transit barriers
9.3%No health insurance
16.8%Frequent mental distress
32.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hartford Park
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.4/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.2/10.
At $1,695 a month, rents run 28% over what the rest of Broken Arrow commands. It sits 0.8 points below the Wagoner County average of 3.8. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 40% of renters.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $91,293.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 40145030406
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40145030406?
Census tract 40145030406 in the Hartford Park neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 40145030406?
Median gross rent is $1,695/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 40145030406?
4.7% of residents in tract 40145030406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,043.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 40145030406?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 54th, minority 55th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 40145030406 considered part of Hartford Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40145030406 fall within Hartford Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 40145030406 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 40145030406 compare to Broken Arrow overall?
Tract 40145030406 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow
Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.