Hartford Park Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 32.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.6/10. Average gross rent is $1,557, 18% above the Broken Arrow average of $1,320.

Severe burden reaches 8%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Among the 32 mapped neighborhoods of Broken Arrow, it ranks #6 by risk, the upper third.

At 20% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Turnberry and Silvertree score within a fraction of it.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.4 points apart at the extremes.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $85,986.

With little internal variation, 3.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.