Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Bend
Tract 41017001602 · Deschutes County, OR · pop 1,884 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 41017001602 sits in the Orchard District area of Bend eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. It is home to 1,884 residents. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Deschutes County average of 45.0%.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,001
Renter share52.3%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$82,540
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bend and the region
Centroid at 44.0604, -121.3016 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard District scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bend
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,441 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bend
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bend
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bend
6.5
How Orchard District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 13%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 40Total filings 2020-21
- 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Orchard District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard District
Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.3/10. At $1,441 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Bend commands.
On the high side, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7/10.
Against the Deschutes County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 4.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $82,540.
52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41017001602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41017001602?
Census tract 41017001602 in the Orchard District neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41017001602?
Median gross rent is $1,441/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41017001602?
9.3% of residents in tract 41017001602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,884.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41017001602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 23th, minority 13th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 41017001602 considered part of Orchard District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41017001602 fall within Orchard District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 41017001602 compare to Bend overall?
Tract 41017001602 scores 6.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Bend at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bend
Top eight tracts in Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Larkspur
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Stone Creek
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Orchard District
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Rim
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Southeast Bend
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Larkspur
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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