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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Southeast Bend Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41017002001 · Deschutes County, OR · pop 1,630 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 41017002001 covers part of the Southeast Bend area of Bend, OR, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,630. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%
Tract context
Occupied units612
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate0.3%
Median income$131,818

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Southeast Bend
Very Low
Within parent city
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 23 tracts In Bend
Very Low
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 45 tracts In Deschutes County
Low
Within state
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#823 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bend and the region

Centroid at 44.0011, -121.3037 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southeast Bend scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bend
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
0.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bend
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bend
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bend
6.5

How Southeast Bend compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southeast Bend risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0020016.1Bendparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 6Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-04-01 to 2025-03-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southeast Bend. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southeast Bend

Running hot, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Against the Deschutes County average of 5.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7/10. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 1.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Model confidence here is 60%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.

Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 41017002001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41017002001?

Census tract 41017002001 in the Southeast Bend neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 41017002001?

0.3% of residents in tract 41017002001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,630.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 41017002001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 10th, minority 30th, housing 1th.
Q4

Is tract 41017002001 considered part of Southeast Bend?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41017002001 fall within Southeast Bend (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How does tract 41017002001 compare to Bend overall?

Tract 41017002001 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Bend at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bend

Top eight tracts in Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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