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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Southwest Bend Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41017002102 · Deschutes County, OR · pop 2,229 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 41017002102 sits in the Southwest Bend area of Bend eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. It is home to 2,229 residents. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 22% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,067
Renter share35.6%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$111,932

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Southwest Bend
Very Low
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 23 tracts In Bend
Low
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 45 tracts In Deschutes County
Low
Within state
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#735 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bend and the region

Centroid at 44.0246, -121.3450 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southwest Bend scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bend
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,121 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bend
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bend
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bend
6.5

How Southwest Bend compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southwest Bend risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0021026.1Bendparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southwest Bend. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southwest Bend

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 27.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against Deschutes County at 45.0%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.7/10. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally.

At $2,121 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Bend commands. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.4/10. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41017002102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41017002102?

Census tract 41017002102 in the Southwest Bend neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41017002102?

Median gross rent is $2,121/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41017002102?

3.5% of residents in tract 41017002102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,229.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41017002102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 43th, minority 30th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 41017002102 considered part of Southwest Bend?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41017002102 fall within Southwest Bend (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 41017002102 compare to Bend overall?

Tract 41017002102 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Bend at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bend

Top eight tracts in Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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