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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Medford historic districts Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 41029000100 · Jackson County, OR · pop 2,306 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 41029000100 covers part of the Medford historic districts area of Medford, OR, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,306. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 39% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units887
Renter share79.8%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate25.3%
Median income$38,819

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Medford historic districts
Very High
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 22 tracts In Medford
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 52 tracts In Jackson County
Very High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#144 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Medford and the region

Centroid at 42.3275, -122.8718 · click any tract to drill in

Why Medford historic districts scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Medford
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
25.3% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,059 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
6.8

How Medford historic districts compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Medford historic districts risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.7This tracttract 0001006.3Medfordparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 821Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 8.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.5%Peak (2005)
  • 56Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41029000100
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 402Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.93×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Medford historic districts. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Medford historic districts

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. 80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $38,819, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

It sits 1.6 points above the Jackson County average of 6.1. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. At $1,059 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Medford commands.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 821 filings here across 14 tracked years.

Cost burden runs 51% here against 46.7% across Jackson County. Filings peaked in 2005 at 13.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.5% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 41029000100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029000100?

Census tract 41029000100 in the Medford historic districts neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41029000100?

Median gross rent is $1,059/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41029000100?

25.3% of residents in tract 41029000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,306.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41029000100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 70th, minority 65th, housing 100th.
Q5

Is tract 41029000100 considered part of Medford historic districts?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41029000100 fall within Medford historic districts (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41029000100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 821 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41029000100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.46% of renter households, peaking at 13.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41029000100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.93× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41029000100 compare to Medford overall?

Tract 41029000100 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Medford at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Medford

Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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