Tract 41029000502 ·
Jackson County, OR · pop 5,866 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
In the Medford historic districts area of Medford, census tract 41029000502 scores 6.7/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 90% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 77% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,237 a month while the average household earns $45,763 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46%Stable renters 14%Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units2,411
Renter share60.4%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate23.9%
Median income$45,763
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83th percentile
#2 of 7 tracts In Medford historic districts
High
Within parent city
95th percentile
#2 of 22 tracts In Medford
Very High
Within county
96th percentile
#3 of 52 tracts In Jackson County
Very High
Within state
91th percentile
#93 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Medford and the region
Centroid at 42.3364, -122.8586 · click any tract to drill in
Why Medford historic districts scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Medford
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
23.9% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,237 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
6.8
How Medford historic districts compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
86%Socioeconomic
74%Household composition
24%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,047Total filings over 14 yrs
5.76%Avg annual filing rate
5.0%Peak (2016)
94Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2016
Filings climbed 32% over the past 14 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
414Total filings 2020-21
5.4Avg monthly (observed)
7.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.77×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Medford historic districts. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Medford historic districts
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Medford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jackson County average of 6.1 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.77x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41029000502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029000502?
Census tract 41029000502 in the Medford historic districts neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41029000502?
Median gross rent is $1,237/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41029000502?
23.9% of residents in tract 41029000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,866.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41029000502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 74th, minority 24th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 41029000502 considered part of Medford historic districts?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41029000502 fall within Medford historic districts (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41029000502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,047 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41029000502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.76% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41029000502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.77× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41029000502 compare to Medford overall?
Tract 41029000502 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Medford at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Medford
Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.