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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Medford historic districts Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 41029000502 · Jackson County, OR · pop 5,866 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

41029000502 is a census tract in the Medford historic districts area of Medford, OR. It scores 7.7/10 for landlords. roughly three in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Jackson County average of 46.7%.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 14% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units2,411
Renter share60.4%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate23.9%
Median income$45,763

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Medford historic districts
High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 22 tracts In Medford
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 52 tracts In Jackson County
Very High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#144 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Medford and the region

Centroid at 42.3364, -122.8586 · click any tract to drill in

Why Medford historic districts scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Medford
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
23.9% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,237 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
6.8

How Medford historic districts compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Medford historic districts risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.7This tracttract 0005026.3Medfordparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,047Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 5.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak (2016)
  • 94Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41029000502
Filings climbed 32% over the past 14 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 414Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 7.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.77×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Medford historic districts. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Medford historic districts

The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. Set annual rent against average income of $45,763 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Against the Jackson County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. On the high side, state political climate reads 7.2/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,047 filings here across 14 tracked years. At $1,237 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Medford commands.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 5.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #9,433 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 41029000502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029000502?

Census tract 41029000502 in the Medford historic districts neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41029000502?

Median gross rent is $1,237/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41029000502?

23.9% of residents in tract 41029000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,866.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41029000502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 74th, minority 24th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 41029000502 considered part of Medford historic districts?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41029000502 fall within Medford historic districts (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41029000502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,047 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41029000502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.76% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41029000502 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.77× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41029000502 compare to Medford overall?

Tract 41029000502 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Medford at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Medford

Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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