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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Medford historic districts Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41029000201 · Jackson County, OR · pop 3,835 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

How risky is the Medford historic districts neighborhood of Medford for landlords? Census tract 41029000201 scores 6.5/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 86% of US census tracts.

About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,248 monthly, set against $49,392 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 66% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 34% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,372
Renter share65.8%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate18.3%
Median income$49,392

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Medford historic districts
Moderate
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 22 tracts In Medford
High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 52 tracts In Jackson County
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#184 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Medford and the region

Centroid at 42.3273, -122.8813 · click any tract to drill in

Why Medford historic districts scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Medford
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
18.3% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,248 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
6.8

How Medford historic districts compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Medford historic districts risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 000201Medford: 6.66.6Medfordparent cityCounty: 4.84.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,028Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 8.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.2%Peak (2000)
  • 60Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410290002012000: 94 filings (10.18/100 renter HHs)2001: 71 filings (7.69/100 renter HHs)2003: 75 filings (8.13/100 renter HHs)2004: 79 filings (8.56/100 renter HHs)2005: 83 filings (10.52/100 renter HHs)2006: 90 filings (11.41/100 renter HHs)2007: 65 filings (8.24/100 renter HHs)2008: 61 filings (7.73/100 renter HHs)2009: 66 filings (8.37/100 renter HHs)2010: 67 filings (7.61/100 renter HHs)2011: 65 filings (7.27/100 renter HHs)2012: 85 filings (9.51/100 renter HHs)2013: 67 filings (7.49/100 renter HHs)2016: 60 filings (5.20/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 36% over the past 14 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 295Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.76×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2020-11-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 4 filings (0.53× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2021-07-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-08-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2021-09-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-04-01: 8 filings (1.07× baseline)2022-05-01: 6 filings (0.96× baseline)2022-06-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2022-10-01: 6 filings (1.41× baseline)2022-11-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2023-01-01: 7 filings (1.40× baseline)2023-02-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-04-01: 5 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-05-01: 7 filings (1.12× baseline)2023-06-01: 6 filings (1.41× baseline)2023-07-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-09-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-12-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-01-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2024-02-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2024-04-01: 4 filings (0.53× baseline)2024-05-01: 6 filings (0.96× baseline)2024-06-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2024-07-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-08-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2024-10-01: 8 filings (1.88× baseline)2024-11-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-12-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 7 filings (1.40× baseline)2025-02-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2025-04-01: 8 filings (1.07× baseline)2025-05-01: 5 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-06-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2025-07-01: 8 filings (1.78× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2025-09-01: 8 filings (1.78× baseline)2025-10-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2025-11-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2026-01-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2026-03-01: 9 filings (1.80× baseline)2026-04-01: 7 filings (0.93× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Medford historic districts. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Medford historic districts

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Medford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jackson County average of 6.1 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.76x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,028 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 8.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.2% of renter households in 2000.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41029000201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029000201?

Census tract 41029000201 in the Medford historic districts neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41029000201?

Median gross rent is $1,248/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41029000201?

18.3% of residents in tract 41029000201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,835.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41029000201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 29th, minority 35th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 41029000201 considered part of Medford historic districts?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41029000201 fall within Medford historic districts (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41029000201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,028 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41029000201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.42% of renter households, peaking at 10.2% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41029000201 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.76× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41029000201 compare to Medford overall?

Tract 41029000201 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Medford at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Medford

Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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