Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Medford historic districts Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41029000203 · Jackson County, OR · pop 3,823 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 41029000203 belongs to the Medford historic districts area of Medford, Oregon. It is home to 3,823 residents and scores 6.6/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,265 monthly, set against $61,365 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 54% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,557
Renter share53.8%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$61,365
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Medford and the region
Centroid at 42.3157, -122.8819 · click any tract to drill in
Why Medford historic districts scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Medford
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,265 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
6.8
How Medford historic districts compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 495Total filings over 14 yrs
- 4.66%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2009)
- 37Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 139Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.72×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Medford historic districts. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Medford historic districts
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Medford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jackson County average of 6.1 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.72x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 495 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 4.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.6% of renter households in 2009.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41029000203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029000203?
Census tract 41029000203 in the Medford historic districts neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41029000203?
Median gross rent is $1,265/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41029000203?
19.7% of residents in tract 41029000203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,823.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41029000203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 81th, minority 43th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 41029000203 considered part of Medford historic districts?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41029000203 fall within Medford historic districts (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41029000203?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 495 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41029000203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.66% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41029000203 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41029000203 compare to Medford overall?
Tract 41029000203 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Medford at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Medford
Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41029000800
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Valley Center Mobile Village
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41029000406
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
41029000605
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related
Explore the geography around tract 41029000203
Parent city ↑
Medford
6.6 / 10
Parent county ↑
Jackson County
Parent state ↑
Oregon
Sibling tract →
Medford historic districts
5.9 / 10
Sibling tract →
Medford historic districts
6 / 10
Sibling tract →
Medford historic districts
5.2 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
Explore all 84k tracts