Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally
Centennial Eviction Risk: High , Portland
Tract 41051009804 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,347 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
41051009804 is a census tract in the Centennial area of Portland, OR. It scores 8.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,347 residents. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,080
Renter share47.5%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$77,912
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.4990, -122.4905 · click any tract to drill in
Why Centennial scores 8.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,635 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Centennial compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 557Total filings over 16 yrs
- 10.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.9%Peak (2002)
- 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 251Total filings 2020-21
- 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.78×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Centennial. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Centennial
The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
Against the Multnomah County average of 7.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 557 filings here across 16 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2002, when 20.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 10.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051009804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051009804?
Census tract 41051009804 in the Centennial neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051009804?
Median gross rent is $1,635/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051009804?
20.1% of residents in tract 41051009804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,347.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051009804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 80th, minority 62th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 41051009804 considered part of Centennial?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051009804 fall within Centennial (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051009804?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 557 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051009804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.82% of renter households, peaking at 20.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051009804 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.78× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051009804 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051009804 scores 8.8/10, higher than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Ladd's Addition
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Gilbert
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Gilbert
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Gateway
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Nob Hill
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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