Neighborhood · Hillsboro, OR

Aspen Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 14,294 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.6–6.1

Aspen Creek takes in 3 census tracts of Hillsboro, OR, population 14,294. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.8/10, Moderate tier. 47% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Hillsboro rate of 28.4%.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.4/10.

The voucher gap is 17.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. At $2,355 a month, rents sit 19% over what the rest of Hillsboro commands. The severe-burden share is 13%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Court records for this tract carry 127 eviction filings. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 8.2% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 0.6% in 2018, is well off that peak.

Among the 12 mapped neighborhoods of Hillsboro, it ranks #12 by risk, the lower third. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.5 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $134,429.

46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Aspen Creek vs Hillsboro How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

47.4% +67%

Hillsboro: 28.4%

Average gross rent

$2,355 +19%

Hillsboro: $1,978

Average HH income

$134,429 +30%

Hillsboro: $103,207

Poverty rate

5.7% -30%

Hillsboro: 8.2%

Renter share

45.6% -8%

Hillsboro: 49.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aspen Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.6–6.1

Why Aspen Creek scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Rent control risk

47% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

46% renter households · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts

9.1

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Economic stress

5.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.9 across tracts

1.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.9–8.3 across tracts

6.8

Risk score comparison

Aspen Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Aspen Creek?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.5 points from 5.6 to 6.1. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

6.1 5.7 5.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Aspen Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
41067032407	6.1	5,763	51%	$2,342
41067032414	5.7	5,121	27%	$2,172
41067032413	5.6	3,410	73%	$2,651

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 21

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 25%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 16%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Aspen Creek

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

127Total filings (sum)
3.31%Avg annual filing rate
8.2%Peak year (2016)
0.64%Latest filed (2018)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

392Total filings 2020-21
2.0Avg monthly observed
3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
0.88×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA).

Frequently asked

About Aspen Creek

What is the eviction-risk score for Aspen Creek?

Aspen Creek scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Aspen Creek compare to Hillsboro overall?

Aspen Creek scores 0.7 points lower than Hillsboro overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,355 vs $1,978.

What is the average rent in Aspen Creek?

Average gross rent in Aspen Creek is $2,355/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Aspen Creek residents are renters?

46% of Aspen Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Hillsboro). The neighborhood has 14,294 residents.

Is Aspen Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Aspen Creek sits in the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Aspen Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Aspen Creek is census tract 41067032407 (score 6.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.6 to 6.1, a spread of 0.5 points.

How safe is Aspen Creek for landlords?

Aspen Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Hillsboro as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Aspen Creek?

Aspen Creek has 13,954 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (19.8%), Hispanic / Latino (13.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Aspen Creek

6.1 Orenco Station 2 tracts · pop 5,658 5.8 Sequoia Village 3 tracts · pop 15,696 6.9 Quatama 5 tracts · pop 24,414 5.9 Rosedale Parks 2 tracts · pop 10,149 7.5 Maplewood Park 3 tracts · pop 13,881 6.7 Gray Oak 4 tracts · pop 14,535

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Hillsboro

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Aspen Creek.

5.8 Rosedale Parks 2 tracts · pop 10,149 5.7 Jackson School 3 tracts · pop 12,081 6 Orenco Station 2 tracts · pop 5,658 6.3 Mahan 1 tracts · pop 7,017 6.3 Dawson Creek 1 tracts · pop 2,219 6.4 Virginia Place 1 tracts · pop 7,407

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