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Census Tract · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally

Chester Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 42045404700 · Delaware County, PA · pop 3,960

Census tract 42045404700 belongs to Chester, Pennsylvania. It is home to 3,960 residents and scores 7.5/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 98% of US census tracts.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,083 monthly, set against $36,875 in average yearly household income, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 80% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 40% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,002
Renter share80.0%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate43.6%
Median income$36,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#2 of 12 tracts In Chester
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 152 tracts In Delaware County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#95 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
National
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#5,198 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chester and the region

Centroid at 39.8614, -75.3581 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chester scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chester
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
43.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,083 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chester
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chester
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chester
8.8

How Chester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chester risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.96.9This tracttract 404700Chester: 4.64.6Chesterparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 192Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 3.85%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak (2006)
  • 37Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420454047002000: 29 filings (4.22/100 renter HHs)2001: 34 filings (4.95/100 renter HHs)2002: 23 filings (3.35/100 renter HHs)2003: 11 filings (1.60/100 renter HHs)2004: 26 filings (3.78/100 renter HHs)2005: 32 filings (4.21/100 renter HHs)2006: 37 filings (4.87/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 28% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chester

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Delaware County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 192 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 3.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.9% of renter households in 2006.

Part of this tract, about 3% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42045404700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42045404700?

Census tract 42045404700 in Chester scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42045404700?

Median gross rent is $1,083/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42045404700?

43.6% of residents in tract 42045404700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,960.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42045404700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 12th, minority 70th, housing 91th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42045404700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 192 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42045404700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.85% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 42045404700 compare to Chester overall?

Tract 42045404700 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Chester at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42045404700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chester

Top eight tracts in Chester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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