Chester Eviction Risk: Elevated

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 44%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.6/10. 80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Set annual rent against average income of $36,875 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. The filing record is not thin: 192 evictions over 7 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 4.9% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.9% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #9,043 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 3.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.