Chester Eviction Risk: Elevated

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 45%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against Delaware County at 50.9%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.6/10.

Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $30,065, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Court records carry 573 eviction filings across 7 observed years. At $976 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Chester commands.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 12.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.