Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
Chester Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 42045404400 · Delaware County, PA · pop 1,819
42045404400 is a census tract in Chester, PA. It scores 7.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,819. It sits 3.1 points above the Delaware County average of 4.7.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units728
Renter share46.6%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate27.8%
Median income$44,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
National
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chester and the region
Centroid at 39.8684, -75.3582 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chester scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chester
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
27.8% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,042 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chester
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chester
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chester
8.8
How Chester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 60%Grade A
- 10%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 112Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2001)
- 19Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 73% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chester
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.8/10.
The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Cost burden runs 56% here against 50.9% across Delaware County. Court records carry 112 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2001, when 7.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chester. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42045404400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42045404400?
Census tract 42045404400 in Chester scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42045404400?
Median gross rent is $1,042/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42045404400?
27.8% of residents in tract 42045404400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,819.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42045404400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 14th, minority 81th, housing 76th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42045404400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 112 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42045404400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.59% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 42045404400 compare to Chester overall?
Tract 42045404400 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Chester at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 42045404400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chester
Top eight tracts in Chester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Viscose Village
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Viscose Village
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
42045410700
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Brookhaven Borough
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
42045404700
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
42045404800
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
42045404900
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
42045405000
7.8
/ 10 · High
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