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Census Tract · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally

Chester Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 42045404900 · Delaware County, PA · pop 1,210

Census tract 42045404900 covers part of Chester, PA, and scores 7.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 42%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 32% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units384
Renter share62.5%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate33.9%
Median income$70,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 12 tracts In Chester
Moderate
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 152 tracts In Delaware County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#116 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
National
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#9,043 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chester and the region

Centroid at 39.8552, -75.3566 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chester scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chester
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
33.9% poverty · this tract
8.5
Supply constraint
$1,190 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chester
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chester
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chester
8.8

How Chester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chester risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.8This tracttract 4049006.4Chesterparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 287Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 15.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.8%Peak (2006)
  • 57Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42045404900
Filings climbed 50% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chester

It sits 3.1 points above the Delaware County average of 4.7. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.8/10.

The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.8/10. Court records carry 287 eviction filings across 7 observed years.

Average gross rent is $1,190, 9% above the Chester average. Filings peaked in 2006 at 25.8% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 15.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 3.2 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42045404900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42045404900?

Census tract 42045404900 in Chester scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42045404900?

Median gross rent is $1,190/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42045404900?

33.9% of residents in tract 42045404900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,210.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42045404900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 62th, minority 97th, housing 83th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42045404900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 287 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42045404900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.53% of renter households, peaking at 25.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 42045404900 compare to Chester overall?

Tract 42045404900 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Chester at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42045404900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chester

Top eight tracts in Chester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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