2 census tracts · pop 5,443 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10
· range 5–5.8
Bayfront is a 2-tract neighborhood of Erie, PA, population 5,443. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Erie baseline of 32.9%, 54% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Severe burden reaches 24%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. This is a renter market: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 2.4/10.
The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The filing record is not thin: 450 evictions logged in this tract. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 8.8% of renter households.
That places it #14 of 26 neighborhoods in Erie. Judgments average 4.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
For a like-for-like read, Perry Park and Marvintown score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Its 2 tracts score within 0.8 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Average gross rent runs $829, close to the Erie average.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $36,726.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bayfront vs ErieHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority47%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Bayfront
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
450Total filings (sum)
6.63%Avg annual filing rate
8.8%Peak year (2006)
8.82%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked
About Bayfront
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Bayfront?
Bayfront scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Bayfront compare to Erie overall?
Bayfront scores 1.1 points higher than Erie overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $829 vs $870.
Q3
What is the average rent in Bayfront?
Average gross rent in Bayfront is $829/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Bayfront residents are renters?
72% of Bayfront households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Erie). The neighborhood has 5,443 residents.
Q5
Is Bayfront a high social-vulnerability area?
Bayfront sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Bayfront have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Bayfront is census tract 42049001000 (score 5.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5 to 5.8, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Bayfront for landlords?
Bayfront carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Erie as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Bayfront?
Bayfront has 5,254 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.4%), Hispanic / Latino (10.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
