Bayfront Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie
Tract 42049000901 · Erie County, PA · pop 2,316 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 5/10, tract 42049000901 in the Bayfront area of Erie, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,316. Against Erie County at 42.3%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.1213, -80.1040 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayfront scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Bayfront compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 86%Grade B
- 14%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bayfront. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Bayfront
34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Set annual rent against average income of $27,243 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.2/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.7/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. It sits 0.7 points above the Erie County average of 4.3.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.2/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $875, close to the Erie average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 42049000901
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049000901?
What is the average rent in tract 42049000901?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049000901?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049000901?
Is tract 42049000901 considered part of Bayfront?
How does tract 42049000901 compare to Erie overall?
Was tract 42049000901 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.