Central Eastside Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie
Tract 42049002600 · Erie County, PA · pop 4,190 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 42049002600 runs through the Central Eastside area of Erie. With 4,190 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,054 a month while the average household earns $53,639 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.1161, -80.0529 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Eastside scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Central Eastside compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 67%Grade B
- 33%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 154Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.6%Peak (2005)
- 23Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central Eastside. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Central Eastside
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Erie eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 154 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 5.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.6% of renter households in 2005.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 42049002600
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049002600?
What is the average rent in tract 42049002600?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049002600?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049002600?
Is tract 42049002600 considered part of Central Eastside?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049002600?
How does tract 42049002600 compare to Erie overall?
Was tract 42049002600 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.