Neighborhood · Erie, PA

Central Eastside Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 6,841 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10 · range 5.7–6.7

Central Eastside is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Erie with 2 census tracts and a population of 6,841 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 59% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 38% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,000/month sits 15% higher than the Erie citywide average ($870).

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

2 tracts · population-weighted

Central Eastside vs Erie How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

59.4% +81%

Erie: 32.9%

Average gross rent

$1,000 +15%

Erie: $870

Average HH income

$50,158 +16%

Erie: $43,397

Poverty rate

22.7% -8%

Erie: 24.6%

Renter share

31.7% -31%

Erie: 45.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central Eastside and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.7–6.7

Why Central Eastside scores 6.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

59% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

32% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Economic stress

22.7% below poverty line · Range 4.3–7.9 across tracts

5.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–4.4 across tracts

3.9

Risk score comparison

Central Eastside vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Central Eastside

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
42049001700	6.7	2,651	62%	$915
42049002600	5.7	4,190	57%	$1,054

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 80

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 87%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 52%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 63%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Central Eastside

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

633Total filings (sum)
8.89%Avg annual filing rate
16.3%Peak year (2006)
9.78%Latest filed (2006)

Frequently asked

About Central Eastside

What is the eviction-risk score for Central Eastside?

Central Eastside scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Central Eastside compare to Erie overall?

Central Eastside scores 1.3 points higher than Erie overall (4.8/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,000 vs $870.

What is the average rent in Central Eastside?

Average gross rent in Central Eastside is $1,000/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Central Eastside residents are renters?

32% of Central Eastside households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Erie). The neighborhood has 6,841 residents.

Is Central Eastside a high social-vulnerability area?

Central Eastside sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Central Eastside have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Central Eastside is census tract 42049001700 (score 6.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 6.7, a spread of 1 points.

How safe is Central Eastside for landlords?

Central Eastside carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Erie as a whole (4.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Central Eastside?

Central Eastside has 6,482 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.2%), Hispanic / Latino (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central Eastside

6.9 Eastside Eagles 2 tracts · pop 4,585 6.8 Little Italy 2 tracts · pop 5,683 7 West Bayfront 2 tracts · pop 5,957 5.4 East Bayfront 2 tracts · pop 3,306 6.2 Bayfront 2 tracts · pop 5,443

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Erie

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Central Eastside.

6.1 Perry Park 1 tracts · pop 2,250 6.1 Marvintown 1 tracts · pop 2,470 6.2 Bayfront 2 tracts · pop 5,443 5.8 Glenwood Heights 1 tracts · pop 2,898 6.4 Lakeside 1 tracts · pop 3,316 5.7 East Bayfront 2 tracts · pop 3,306

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