2 census tracts · pop 6,841 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10
· range 5–5.8
Central Eastside takes in 2 census tracts of Erie, PA, population 6,841. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.3/10, in the Moderate tier. 59% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Erie rate of 32.9%.
The severe-burden share is 38%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Filings are well documented here: 633 across 2 observed tracts.
At $1,000 a month, rents sit 15% over what the rest of Erie commands. Filing activity peaked in 2006 at 16.3% of renter households.
Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Erie, it ranks #18 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 5.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
For a like-for-like read, Bayfront and Perry Park score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Its 2 tracts score within 0.8 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $50,158. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Central Eastside vs ErieHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Central Eastside
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
633Total filings (sum)
8.89%Avg annual filing rate
16.3%Peak year (2006)
9.78%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked
About Central Eastside
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Central Eastside?
Central Eastside scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Central Eastside compare to Erie overall?
Central Eastside scores 0.9 points higher than Erie overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,000 vs $870.
Q3
What is the average rent in Central Eastside?
Average gross rent in Central Eastside is $1,000/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Central Eastside residents are renters?
32% of Central Eastside households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Erie). The neighborhood has 6,841 residents.
Q5
Is Central Eastside a high social-vulnerability area?
Central Eastside sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Central Eastside have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Central Eastside is census tract 42049001700 (score 5.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5 to 5.8, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Central Eastside for landlords?
Central Eastside carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Erie as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Central Eastside?
Central Eastside has 6,482 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.2%), Hispanic / Latino (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
