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Neighborhood · Erie, PA

East Bayfront Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 3,306 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 4.1–6.7

East Bayfront is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Erie with 2 census tracts and a population of 3,306 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 46% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 14% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $843/month sits 3% lower than the Erie citywide average ($870).

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
East Bayfront vs Erie How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.9% +40%
Erie: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$843 -3%
Erie: $870
Average HH income
$47,359 +9%
Erie: $43,397
Poverty rate
21.9% -11%
Erie: 24.6%
Renter share
48.6% +6%
Erie: 45.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East Bayfront and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.1–6.7

Why East Bayfront scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.4–5.5 across tracts
4.7
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 3.4–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
49% renter households · Range 4.0–4.5 across tracts
4.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
21.9% below poverty line · Range 2.6–7.4 across tracts
5.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–3.2 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

East Bayfront vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

East Bayfront score vs. parent city, state, U.S.East Bayfront: 5.75.7East BayfrontNeighborhoodParent city: 4.84.8Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in East Bayfront

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42049000400 6.7 1,984 55% $793
42049012400 4.1 1,322 33% $919
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 67

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 49%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 49%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in East Bayfront

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 457Total filings (sum)
  • 6.88%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.3%Peak year (2006)
  • 7.08%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About East Bayfront

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for East Bayfront?

East Bayfront scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does East Bayfront compare to Erie overall?

East Bayfront scores 0.9 points higher than Erie overall (4.8/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $843 vs $870.
Q3

What is the average rent in East Bayfront?

Average gross rent in East Bayfront is $843/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of East Bayfront residents are renters?

49% of East Bayfront households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Erie). The neighborhood has 3,306 residents.
Q5

Is East Bayfront a high social-vulnerability area?

East Bayfront sits in the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in East Bayfront have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in East Bayfront is census tract 42049000400 (score 6.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.1 to 6.7, a spread of 2.6 points.
Q7

How safe is East Bayfront for landlords?

East Bayfront carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Erie as a whole (4.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of East Bayfront?

East Bayfront has 3,142 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.4%), Other / Multiracial (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near East Bayfront

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Erie

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to East Bayfront.

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