2 census tracts · pop 3,306 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5/10
· range 3.7–5.8
East Bayfront spans 2 census tracts of Erie, PA, population 3,306. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 46% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Erie rate of 32.9%.
Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.7 to 5.8, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 2.5/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
14% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Court records carry 457 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.
Filing activity peaked in 2006 at 11.3% of renter households. Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Erie, it ranks #19 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 4.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
For a like-for-like read, Glenwood Heights and Grandview Heights score within a fraction of it. Average gross rent runs $843, close to the Erie average.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $47,359. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
East Bayfront vs ErieHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority49%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in East Bayfront
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
457Total filings (sum)
6.88%Avg annual filing rate
11.3%Peak year (2006)
7.08%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked
About East Bayfront
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for East Bayfront?
East Bayfront scores 5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does East Bayfront compare to Erie overall?
East Bayfront scores 0.6 points higher than Erie overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $843 vs $870.
Q3
What is the average rent in East Bayfront?
Average gross rent in East Bayfront is $843/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of East Bayfront residents are renters?
49% of East Bayfront households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Erie). The neighborhood has 3,306 residents.
Q5
Is East Bayfront a high social-vulnerability area?
East Bayfront sits in the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in East Bayfront have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in East Bayfront is census tract 42049000400 (score 5.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 5.8, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7
How safe is East Bayfront for landlords?
East Bayfront carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Erie as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of East Bayfront?
East Bayfront has 3,142 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.4%), Other / Multiracial (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
