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Neighborhood · Erie, PA

West Bayfront Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 5,957 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10 · range 6.9–7

West Bayfront is a diverse neighborhood in Erie with 2 census tracts and a population of 5,957 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 57% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $937/month sits 8% higher than the Erie citywide average ($870).

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
West Bayfront vs Erie How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.9% +73%
Erie: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$937 +8%
Erie: $870
Average HH income
$30,289 -30%
Erie: $43,397
Poverty rate
37.0% +51%
Erie: 24.6%
Renter share
80.9% +76%
Erie: 45.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across West Bayfront and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.9–7

Why West Bayfront scores 6.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
81% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
37.0% below poverty line · Range 7.7–10.0 across tracts
8.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–4.5 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

West Bayfront vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

West Bayfront score vs. parent city, state, U.S.West Bayfront: 6.96.9West BayfrontNeighborhoodParent city: 4.84.8Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in West Bayfront

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42049000902 7 2,283 62% $737
42049000300 6.9 3,674 54% $1,062
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 77

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 82%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in West Bayfront

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 703Total filings (sum)
  • 10.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.4%Peak year (2002)
  • 8.80%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About West Bayfront

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for West Bayfront?

West Bayfront scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does West Bayfront compare to Erie overall?

West Bayfront scores 2.1 points higher than Erie overall (4.8/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $937 vs $870.
Q3

What is the average rent in West Bayfront?

Average gross rent in West Bayfront is $937/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of West Bayfront residents are renters?

81% of West Bayfront households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Erie). The neighborhood has 5,957 residents.
Q5

Is West Bayfront a high social-vulnerability area?

West Bayfront sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in West Bayfront have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in West Bayfront is census tract 42049000902 (score 7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.9 to 7, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is West Bayfront for landlords?

West Bayfront carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Erie as a whole (4.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of West Bayfront?

West Bayfront has 5,852 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (19.1%), Hispanic / Latino (9.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near West Bayfront

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Erie

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to West Bayfront.

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