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Neighborhood · Erie, PA

West Bayfront Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 5,957 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.8–5.8

West Bayfront takes in 2 census tracts of Erie, PA and houses 5,957 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Erie baseline of 32.9%, 57% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 28%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The poverty rate is 37%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is a renter market: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Set annual rent against average household income of $30,289 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 8.6/10.

Court records for this tract carry 703 eviction filings. Filing activity peaked in 2002 at 12.4% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 8.8% in 2006 against a 12.4% peak. Average gross rent is $937, 8% above the Erie average of $870.

That places it #1 of 26 neighborhoods in Erie. For a like-for-like read, Baldwin Park and Little Italy score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
West Bayfront vs Erie How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.9% +73%
Erie: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$937 +8%
Erie: $870
Average HH income
$30,289 -30%
Erie: $43,397
Poverty rate
37.0% +51%
Erie: 24.6%
Renter share
80.9% +76%
Erie: 45.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across West Bayfront and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.8–5.8

Why West Bayfront scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
81% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
37.0% below poverty line · Range 7.7–10.0 across tracts
8.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–4.5 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

West Bayfront vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

West Bayfront score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.8West BayfrontNeighborhood4.4Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in West Bayfront

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
42049000300 5.8 3,674 54% $1,062
42049000902 5.8 2,283 62% $737
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 77

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 82%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in West Bayfront

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 703Total filings (sum)
  • 10.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.4%Peak year (2002)
  • 8.80%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About West Bayfront

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for West Bayfront?

West Bayfront scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does West Bayfront compare to Erie overall?

West Bayfront scores 1.4 points higher than Erie overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $937 vs $870.
Q3

What is the average rent in West Bayfront?

Average gross rent in West Bayfront is $937/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of West Bayfront residents are renters?

81% of West Bayfront households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Erie). The neighborhood has 5,957 residents.
Q5

Is West Bayfront a high social-vulnerability area?

West Bayfront sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in West Bayfront have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in West Bayfront is census tract 42049000300 (score 5.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.8 to 5.8, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is West Bayfront for landlords?

West Bayfront carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Erie as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of West Bayfront?

West Bayfront has 5,852 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (19.1%), Hispanic / Latino (9.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near West Bayfront

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Erie

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to West Bayfront.

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