2 census tracts · pop 5,683 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10
· range 5.8–5.8
Little Italy is a 2-tract neighborhood of Erie, PA and houses 5,683 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.8/10, in the Moderate tier. 55% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Erie rate of 32.9%.
31% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 8.8/10. Court records carry 1,170 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.
Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 19.6% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 10.9% in 2006, is well off that peak.
Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Erie, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Saint Mary and Baldwin Park.
The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $921, close to the Erie average. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $39,081.
64% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
With little internal variation, 5.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Little Italy vs ErieHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority57%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Little Italy
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,170Total filings (sum)
11.63%Avg annual filing rate
19.6%Peak year (2005)
10.56%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked
About Little Italy
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Little Italy?
Little Italy scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Little Italy compare to Erie overall?
Little Italy scores 1.4 points higher than Erie overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $921 vs $870.
Q3
What is the average rent in Little Italy?
Average gross rent in Little Italy is $921/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Little Italy residents are renters?
64% of Little Italy households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Erie). The neighborhood has 5,683 residents.
Q5
Is Little Italy a high social-vulnerability area?
Little Italy sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Little Italy have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Little Italy is census tract 42049002000 (score 5.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.8 to 5.8, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Little Italy for landlords?
Little Italy carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Erie as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Little Italy?
Little Italy has 5,934 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63%), Other / Multiracial (12.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
